> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.backquant.com/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# Probability density

> Breeden-Litzenberger probability density derived from option prices. Returns PDF, normalized PDF, CDF (above and below spot), and distribution stats (mean, std, mode, skew, kurtosis, 25/50/75 percentile prices) per expiry.

Filters:
* `expiry` — slice to a single expiry token (case-insensitive).
* `dte_max` — drop expiries with DTE > dte_max so near-term clients   can avoid carrying the long tail.
* `confidence_band` — when set to `0.68` or `0.95` (the most   common choices), each expiry payload gets a `confidence_band`   object with `lower` / `upper` price levels containing that much   implied probability mass, computed by interpolating the CDF.

Risk-neutral PDF/CDF derived from option prices via Breeden-Litzenberger. Optional `?confidence_band=0.68|0.95` returns interpolated price bands per expiry.

## See also

<CardGroup cols={2}>
  <Card title="Breeden-Litzenberger explained" href="/concepts/probability-density" icon="bookmark" />
</CardGroup>


## OpenAPI

````yaml GET /options/probability/density
openapi: 3.1.0
info:
  title: BackQuant API v2
  description: >-

    # BackQuant API v2


    Options + gamma-exposure focused public API. Built on the same data the

    BackQuant Pro Terminal renders — pre-computed every 30s, served from cache.


    ## What's in v2


    * **Discovery**: `/v2/symbols` (universe + per-symbol freshness + supported
      endpoint list), `/v2/expiries` (active expiry tokens with DTE), `/v2/status`
      (per-symbol-per-category health with thresholds + overall classification).
    * **GEX**: composable levels (HVL / call wall / put support / max-pain /
      expected move / gamma-flip zones), strike profile with typed expiry
      filter, expiry profile, strike × expiry heatmap with downsampling,
      greek time-heatmap with DTE/OI/IV filters, history (cursor-paginated),
      Postgres-backed stress history, **per-expiry max-pain with pain curve**.
    * **Options**: filtered options chain with two-layer projection (top-level
      `?fields=` and per-contract `?include=oi,iv,greeks,bid_ask,volume,gex`)
      plus moneyness filter (`?moneyness_min=0.9&moneyness_max=1.1`), expiry
      summary table, full IV suite (surface / term structure / 25Δ-10Δ skew /
      curves / **single-expiry smile** / IV-RV history / VRP), expected move,
      **Breeden-Litzenberger probability density and surface**, typed greek
      profiles (delta / theta / vanna / charm / vega), strike × time charm/vega
      surfaces, strike × expiry 3D greek surface, OI by expiry + history,
      put/call ratio (intraday or daily), 0DTE & weekly premium tide,
      dated-futures term structure.
    * **Liquidation**: heatmap + leverage-tiered distribution.

    * **Multi**: `/v2/multi/gex/levels` — bundled multi-symbol read across the
      universe in one round-trip, with the same `?include=` model as the
      single-symbol endpoint.

    ## Authentication


    Every v2 route (except `/v2/openapi.json`, `/v2/docs`, `/v2/redoc`, and

    `/v2/health`) requires the `X-API-Key` header.


    ```

    X-API-Key: bq_live_your_api_key_here

    ```


    **Get your API key at
    [backquant.com/api-access](https://backquant.com/api-access).**


    The same key works across v1 and v2 — if you already have a v1 key, no

    re-issuance is needed.


    ## Rate limits


    Per-key, derived from your subscription tier:


    | Tier        | Limit                |

    |-------------|----------------------|

    | Monthly     | 60 requests/min      |

    | Yearly      | 120 requests/min     |

    | Enterprise  | No limit             |


    Headers `X-RateLimit-Limit / -Remaining / -Reset` are included in every

    response, and the same triple is echoed inside `meta.rate_limit` when

    populated by middleware.


    ## Response envelope


    ```json

    {
      "success": true,
      "data": { ... },
      "meta": {
        "version": "2.0",
        "timestamp": "2026-04-29T12:00:00.000Z",
        "request_id": "req_…",
        "symbol": "BTCUSDT",
        "spot_price": 67213.5,
        "computed_at": "2026-04-29T11:59:48.000Z",
        "freshness_seconds": 12.0,
        "source": ["deribit","bybit","okx","binance"],
        "exchanges_filtered": ["deribit","bybit"]
      }
    }

    ```


    ## Errors


    ```json

    {
      "success": false,
      "error": {
        "code": "NOT_FOUND",
        "message": "No data for BTCUSDT"
      },
      "meta": { "version": "2.0", "timestamp": "..." }
    }

    ```


    | Code                  | When |

    |-----------------------|------|

    | `UNAUTHORIZED`        | Missing or invalid API key |

    | `FORBIDDEN`           | Subscription doesn't allow API access |

    | `NOT_FOUND`           | Symbol/expiry/etc. not present in cache |

    | `VALIDATION_ERROR`    | Bad query parameters |

    | `RATE_LIMIT_EXCEEDED` | Per-tier limit hit |

    | `UPSTREAM_ERROR`      | Cache or DB temporarily unreachable |

    | `INTERNAL_ERROR`      | Anything else |
        
  version: 2.0.0
servers: []
security: []
tags:
  - name: Meta
    description: Unauthenticated metadata + endpoint catalog (planning your integration)
  - name: Discovery
    description: Symbol catalog, active expiries, and service status
  - name: GEX
    description: Gamma exposure analytics
  - name: Options
    description: Options chain, IV, greeks, probability, premium tide
  - name: Liquidation
    description: Liquidation heatmap and distribution
  - name: Multi
    description: Bundled multi-symbol endpoints (single round-trip across the universe)
paths:
  /options/probability/density:
    get:
      tags:
        - Options
      summary: Risk-neutral PDF/CDF (per expiry)
      description: >-
        Breeden-Litzenberger probability density derived from option prices.
        Returns PDF, normalized PDF, CDF (above and below spot), and
        distribution stats (mean, std, mode, skew, kurtosis, 25/50/75 percentile
        prices) per expiry.


        Filters:

        * `expiry` — slice to a single expiry token (case-insensitive).

        * `dte_max` — drop expiries with DTE > dte_max so near-term clients  
        can avoid carrying the long tail.

        * `confidence_band` — when set to `0.68` or `0.95` (the most   common
        choices), each expiry payload gets a `confidence_band`   object with
        `lower` / `upper` price levels containing that much   implied
        probability mass, computed by interpolating the CDF.
      operationId: get_probability_density_options_probability_density_get
      parameters:
        - name: symbol
          in: query
          required: false
          schema:
            enum:
              - BTCUSDT
              - ETHUSDT
              - SOLUSDT
              - HYPEUSDT
            type: string
            description: 'Trading symbol: BTCUSDT, ETHUSDT, SOLUSDT, or HYPEUSDT.'
            default: BTCUSDT
            title: Symbol
          description: 'Trading symbol: BTCUSDT, ETHUSDT, SOLUSDT, or HYPEUSDT.'
        - name: expiry
          in: query
          required: false
          schema:
            anyOf:
              - type: string
              - type: 'null'
            description: Filter to one expiry token (e.g. 28MAR25)
            title: Expiry
          description: Filter to one expiry token (e.g. 28MAR25)
        - name: dte_max
          in: query
          required: false
          schema:
            anyOf:
              - type: integer
                maximum: 720
                minimum: 0
              - type: 'null'
            description: Drop expiries with DTE greater than this value.
            title: Dte Max
          description: Drop expiries with DTE greater than this value.
        - name: confidence_band
          in: query
          required: false
          schema:
            anyOf:
              - type: number
                maximum: 0.999
                minimum: 0.5
              - type: 'null'
            description: >-
              Confidence level for the implied price band, e.g. `0.68` for ≈1σ
              or `0.95` for ≈2σ. Adds `confidence_band` per expiry.
            title: Confidence Band
          description: >-
            Confidence level for the implied price band, e.g. `0.68` for ≈1σ or
            `0.95` for ≈2σ. Adds `confidence_band` per expiry.
        - name: X-API-Key
          in: header
          required: false
          schema:
            anyOf:
              - type: string
              - type: 'null'
            title: X-Api-Key
      responses:
        '200':
          description: Successful Response
          content:
            application/json:
              schema:
                $ref: '#/components/schemas/ProbabilityDensityResponse'
        '401':
          description: Invalid or missing API key
          content:
            application/json:
              example:
                success: false
                error:
                  code: UNAUTHORIZED
                  message: Invalid API key
                meta:
                  version: '2.0'
                  timestamp: '2026-04-29T12:00:00Z'
        '404':
          content:
            application/json:
              schema:
                $ref: '#/components/schemas/V2ErrorEnvelope'
          description: Not Found
        '422':
          description: Validation error on query parameters
          content:
            application/json:
              example:
                success: false
                error:
                  code: VALIDATION_ERROR
                  message: Invalid request parameters
                  details:
                    errors: []
                meta:
                  version: '2.0'
                  timestamp: '2026-04-29T12:00:00Z'
        '429':
          description: Rate limit exceeded
          content:
            application/json:
              example:
                success: false
                error:
                  code: RATE_LIMIT_EXCEEDED
                  message: Rate limit exceeded. Try again later.
                meta:
                  version: '2.0'
                  timestamp: '2026-04-29T12:00:00Z'
      security:
        - ApiKeyAuth: []
components:
  schemas:
    ProbabilityDensityResponse:
      properties:
        success:
          type: boolean
          const: true
          title: Success
          default: true
        data:
          $ref: '#/components/schemas/ProbabilityDensityData'
        meta:
          $ref: '#/components/schemas/V2Meta'
      type: object
      required:
        - data
        - meta
      title: ProbabilityDensityResponse
    V2ErrorEnvelope:
      properties:
        success:
          type: boolean
          const: false
          title: Success
          default: false
        error:
          $ref: '#/components/schemas/V2Error'
        meta:
          $ref: '#/components/schemas/V2Meta'
      type: object
      required:
        - error
        - meta
      title: V2ErrorEnvelope
      description: Returned for every non-2xx response.
    ProbabilityDensityData:
      properties:
        expiries:
          additionalProperties:
            $ref: '#/components/schemas/ProbabilityExpiryPayload'
          type: object
          title: Expiries
          description: Keyed by expiry token (e.g. `28MAR25`).
        spot_price:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Spot Price
        filtered_dte_max:
          anyOf:
            - type: integer
            - type: 'null'
          title: Filtered Dte Max
        confidence_band_requested:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Confidence Band Requested
      type: object
      required:
        - expiries
      title: ProbabilityDensityData
    V2Meta:
      properties:
        version:
          type: string
          const: '2.0'
          title: Version
          description: API version tag.
        timestamp:
          type: string
          title: Timestamp
          description: ISO 8601 wall-clock when the response was built.
        request_id:
          anyOf:
            - type: string
            - type: 'null'
          title: Request Id
          description: X-Request-ID for tracing across logs / Sentry.
        symbol:
          anyOf:
            - type: string
            - type: 'null'
          title: Symbol
          description: Symbol the response is about, if applicable.
        spot_price:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Spot Price
          description: Current spot price for the symbol.
        computed_at:
          anyOf:
            - type: string
            - type: 'null'
          title: Computed At
          description: ISO 8601 of when the underlying cache value was last written.
        freshness_seconds:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Freshness Seconds
          description: '`now - computed_at` in seconds; useful for staleness alarms.'
        source:
          anyOf:
            - items:
                type: string
              type: array
            - type: 'null'
          title: Source
          description: Upstream venue list the data flowed through.
        exchanges_filtered:
          anyOf:
            - items:
                type: string
              type: array
            - type: 'null'
          title: Exchanges Filtered
          description: Echo of the `?exchanges=` filter when one was applied.
        rate_limit:
          anyOf:
            - additionalProperties: true
              type: object
            - type: 'null'
          title: Rate Limit
          description: '`{limit, remaining, reset}` echo of the rate-limit headers.'
        extra:
          anyOf:
            - additionalProperties: true
              type: object
            - type: 'null'
          title: Extra
          description: Open dict for endpoint-specific metadata (filter_hash, etc.).
      type: object
      required:
        - version
        - timestamp
      title: V2Meta
      description: |-
        The meta block returned alongside every v2 response.

        Every field after `version`/`timestamp` is optional because endpoints
        attach different combinations — e.g. `/v2/status` skips `symbol`, the
        chain endpoint sets `extra.filter_hash`, etc. Listing them here means
        SDKs get a typed accessor for each instead of a generic `meta: dict`.
    V2Error:
      properties:
        code:
          type: string
          title: Code
          description: Stable machine-readable error code (see /v2/meta).
        message:
          type: string
          title: Message
          description: Human-readable description.
        details:
          anyOf:
            - additionalProperties: true
              type: object
            - type: 'null'
          title: Details
          description: >-
            Optional structured payload — e.g. validation_error returns the
            failing field list.
      type: object
      required:
        - code
        - message
      title: V2Error
    ProbabilityExpiryPayload:
      properties:
        strikes:
          anyOf:
            - items:
                type: number
              type: array
            - type: 'null'
          title: Strikes
        pdf:
          anyOf:
            - items:
                anyOf:
                  - type: number
                  - type: 'null'
              type: array
            - type: 'null'
          title: Pdf
        pdf_normalized:
          anyOf:
            - items:
                anyOf:
                  - type: number
                  - type: 'null'
              type: array
            - type: 'null'
          title: Pdf Normalized
        cdf_above:
          anyOf:
            - items:
                anyOf:
                  - type: number
                  - type: 'null'
              type: array
            - type: 'null'
          title: Cdf Above
        cdf_below:
          anyOf:
            - items:
                anyOf:
                  - type: number
                  - type: 'null'
              type: array
            - type: 'null'
          title: Cdf Below
        mode:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Mode
        mean:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Mean
        std:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Std
        skewness:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Skewness
        kurtosis:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Kurtosis
        prob_25:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Prob 25
        prob_50:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Prob 50
        prob_75:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Prob 75
        confidence_band:
          anyOf:
            - $ref: '#/components/schemas/ProbabilityConfidenceBand'
            - type: 'null'
      additionalProperties: true
      type: object
      title: ProbabilityExpiryPayload
      description: |-
        Per-expiry PDF/CDF data. Many fields are optional because the cache
        shape evolves with worker versions; SDKs treat absent fields as null.
    ProbabilityConfidenceBand:
      properties:
        confidence:
          type: number
          title: Confidence
        lower:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Lower
        upper:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Upper
        lower_percentile:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Lower Percentile
        upper_percentile:
          anyOf:
            - type: number
            - type: 'null'
          title: Upper Percentile
        available:
          anyOf:
            - type: boolean
            - type: 'null'
          title: Available
        reason:
          anyOf:
            - type: string
            - type: 'null'
          title: Reason
      type: object
      required:
        - confidence
      title: ProbabilityConfidenceBand
  securitySchemes:
    ApiKeyAuth:
      type: apiKey
      in: header
      name: X-API-Key
      description: Your BackQuant API key (same key as v1)

````